Evidence-led analysis of judgement, uncertainty, cognitive bias, information quality and the conditions that shape consequential decisions.
This hub brings together ALTIUS work on individual and group decisions, expertise, uncertainty and the quality of information available before a choice is made.
Read: What Is Decision Making? →
Decision fatigue is real enough to deserve attention, but the old story that the brain simply burns through a finite glucose-based willpower resource does not fit the evidence. The harder question is what changes after sustained cognitive demand.
Repeatedly being right can create a hidden leadership problem: other people stop testing the leader's judgement. The future cost appears when the leader is finally wrong.
Business measures outcomes very well. It is often less precise about the mental conditions under which those outcomes are produced. A mental-performance lens looks at the behaviour before the result.
Winning office and performing well in office are different achievements. Political performance concerns how public authority is exercised under pressure, uncertainty and institutional constraint.